A Consumption-Based Approach to Exchange Rate Predictability

Número: 
857
Publicado: 
Clasificación JEL: 
C5, F31, F47, G15
Palabras clave: 
Exchange Rates, Out-of-sample, Predictability, Asset Pricing

This paper provides evidence of short-run predictability for the real exchange rate by performing out-of-sample tests of a forecasting equation which is derived from a consumption-based asset pricing model. In this model, the real exchange rate is predict