A Dynamic Factor Model for the Colombian Inflation

Número: 
549
Publicado: 
Clasificación JEL: 
C13, C33, C53
Palabras clave: 
Dynamic factor models, static factor models, forecast accuracy

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Luis E. Arango, Leonardo Bonilla-Mejía, Luz Adriana Flórez, Luis E. Arango
Julián Andrés Parra-Polanía, Constanza Martínez-Ventura

We use a dynamic factor model proposed by Stock and Watson [1998, 1999, 2002a,b] to forecast Colombian inflation. The model includes 92 monthly series observed over the period 1999:01-2008:06. The results show that for short-run horizons, factor model for