An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms Using Macroeconomic Aggregates

Borradores de Economia
Número: 
723
Publicado: 
Clasificación JEL: 
E32, E37, E44, E51, C53
Palabras clave: 
Early Warning Indicator, Credit booms, business cycles, Emerging Markets

Lo más reciente

Pedro Pablo Calderon-Camacho, Celina Gaitán-Maldonado, Nicolle Valentina Herrera-Pinto, Mario A. Ramos-Veloza
Franky Juliano Galeano-Ramírez, Nicolás Martínez-Cortés, Hernán Dario Perdomo-Sánchez, Marlon Salazar
Catalina Granda-Carvajal, Jesús Enrique Morales-Piñero

In this paper, we propose an alternative methodology to determine the existence of credit booms, which is a complex and crucial issue for policymakers. In particular, we exploit the Mendoza and Terrones (2008)’s idea that macroeconomic aggregates other th