Borradores de Economia
Número:
604
Publicado:
Clasificación JEL:
C11, C15, C52, C53
Palabras clave:
Bayesian model averaging, forecast combination, Inflation, Information theoretical model averaging.
Lo más reciente
Juan Esteban Carranza-Romero, Alejandra González-Ramírez, Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas
Hernán Rincón-Castro, Steven Zapata-Álvarez
An application of Bayesian Model Averaging, BMA, is implemented to construct combined forecasts for the colombian inflation for the short and medium run. A model selection algorithm is applied over a set of linear models with a large dataset of potencial