Forecasting the USD/COP Exchange Rate: A Random Walk with a Variable Drift

Número: 
253
Publicado: 
Clasificación JEL: 
C33, F21, F34
Palabras clave: 
Exchange Rate

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Lina Fernanda Torres-Gutierrez, Gonzalo Ossa-Stipcianos, Edwin Mauricio Parra-Rodriguez, Egberto Alexander Riveros, Alvaro José Martinez-Monroy, Julián Andrés Gomez-Duran, Juan Sebastián Rojas-Moreno

This study develops three exchange rate models as well as a simple statistical model defined as a random walk with a variable drift. The exchange rate models all use the purchasing power parity hypothesis to account for the long-term relationships between