Depressions in the Colombian economic growth during the XX century: A Markov Switching Regime Model

Borradores de Economia
Number: 
340
Published: 
Classification JEL: 
O40, C22, E32, N16
Keywords: 
Human capital agglomeration, Social returns, Private returns, Externalities, Uncertainty, Fiscal policy
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In this paper, we modeled the Colombian long run economic growth (1925-2003) using a two- regime first order Markov switching model. We found evidence of non-linearity in the annual rate of economic growth. The results show that changes between regimes ar