Forecasting with many predictors: an empirical comparison

Borradores de Economia
Number: 
643
Published: 
Classification JEL: 
C11, C15, C52, C53
Keywords: 
Human capital agglomeration, Social returns, Private returns, Externalities, Uncertainty, Fiscal policy

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Three methodologies of estimation of models with many predictors are implemented to forecast Colombian inflation. Two factor models, based on principal components, and partial least squares, as well as a Bayesian regression, known as Ridge regression are