La inflación en Colombia: una aproximación desde las redes neuronales

Borradores de Economia
Number: 
199
Published: 
Classification JEL: 
E31, C45
Keywords: 
Human capital agglomeration, Social returns, Private returns, Externalities, Uncertainty, Fiscal policy

The most recent

Juliana Jaramillo-Echeverri, Karina Acosta, Olga Lucia Acosta Navarro, Oscar Iván Ávila-Montealegre, Jhorland Ayala-García, Jaime Bonet-Morón, Jesus Botero, Luz A. Flórez, Daniela Gallo, Luis Armando Galvis-Aponte, Karelys Guzmán-Finol, Eduardo A. Haddad, Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez, David Camilo López-Valenzuela, Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra, Juan J. Ospina-Tejeiro, Andrea Otero-Cortés, Julian A. Parra-Polania, Gerson Javier Pérez-Valbuena, José Pulido, María Teresa Ramírez-Giraldo, Mario A. Ramos-Veloza, Charles Rahal, Jorge Leonardo Rodríguez-Arenas, Shadia Zardibia
Camilo Bohorquez-Penuela, Leonardo Bonilla-Mejía, Anabelle Couleau, Alexánder Almeida

A Statement of the Colombian Constitutional Court has mandated wage indexation on the basis of past inflation. A simple model with a wage price system, a real block, and an inflation targeting interest rule is calibrated to resemble price setting in the Colombian economy and to analize the differing slope of the output inflation trade oo for different specifications of wage indexation. The disinflation experiments the effect of monetary policy, and increases the cost of disinflation. Shorter wage contracts and more frequent wage negotiations do not appear to have important effects on the cost of disinflation. Higher central bank credibility and the use of forward looking inflation expectations in wage negotiations decrease the cost of disinflation and may eventually lead to a boom.