Are FX communications effective? Evidence from emerging markets

EMERGING MARKETS REVIEW
DOI: 
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2023.101091
Publicado: 
Authors:
Julián Andrés Parra-Polanía,
Andrés Mauricio Sánchez-Jabba,
Miguel Sarmiento
Clasificación JEL: 
E59, F31, G14
Descargar documento

Lo más reciente

Modelo Fiscal Colombiano para la Evaluación Económica
Andrés Nicolás Herrera-Rojas, David Camilo López-Valenzuela, Juan José Ospina-Tejeiro, Jesús Antonio Bejarano-Rojas
Mitos y realidades del Catatumbo
Jaime Alfredo Bonet-Moron, Yuri Carolina Reina-Aranza, Adriana Ortega, Ana Rosa Polanco
Explorando la relación entre aportes netos de capital y rentabilidad en los fondos de inversión colectiva abiertos sin pacto de permanencia en Colombia
Juan Sebastián Mariño-Montaña, Daniela Rodriguez-Novoa, Camilo Eduardo Sánchez-Quinto

This paper examines the effects of foreign exchange (FX) communications on FX markets in Colombia and Mexico. Our estimations follow the calendar-time portfolio approach using daily data between 2000 and 2019 on exchange rates and known risk factors. We find an asymmetric effect of such communications: while there is strong evidence indicating that communications aimed at weakening the local currency affect the exchange rate level in the intended direction, there is no evidence of impact when examining communications intended to strengthen it. These results are consistent with fear of appreciation and with previous evidence from developed economies.