Borradores de Economia
Número:
756
Publicado:
Clasificación JEL:
C22, C52
Palabras clave:
ARIMA models, power transformations, seasonality, bayesian analysis
Lo más reciente
Luis E. Arango, Luis E. Arango, Luz Adriana Flórez, Carlos Esteban Posada
Oscar Iván Ávila-Montealegre, Anderson Grajales, Juan José Ospina-Tejeiro, Mario Andrés Ramos-Veloza
Olga Lucia Acosta Navarro, Andrés Felipe Chitán-Caes, Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez, Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra, María Teresa Ramírez-Giraldo, Jorge Leonardo Rodríguez Arenas
This paper investigates whether transforming the Consumer Price Index with a class of power transformations lead to an improvement of inflation forecasting accuracy. We use one of the prototypical models to forecast short run inflation which is known as t