Borradores de Economia
Número:
756
Publicado:
Clasificación JEL:
C22, C52
Palabras clave:
ARIMA models, power transformations, seasonality, bayesian analysis
Lo más reciente
Jhorland Ayala-García, Yesica Tatiana Lara-Silva, Alejandro Alberto Vargas-Villamil, Lina Romero-Chaparro
Jesús Alonso Botero-García, Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra, Cristian Castrillón Gaviria, Daniela Gallo
Hernando Vargas-Herrera
This paper investigates whether transforming the Consumer Price Index with a class of power transformations lead to an improvement of inflation forecasting accuracy. We use one of the prototypical models to forecast short run inflation which is known as t