Número:
243
Publicado:
Clasificación JEL:
C53, C82, E32
Palabras clave:
Coincident indexes, leading indexes, state space models
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Juan Sebastián Mariño-Montaña, Daniela Rodriguez-Novoa, Camilo Eduardo Sánchez-Quinto
Camilo Gómez, Mariana Escobar-Villarraga, Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra, Hector Manuel Zárate-Solano
In this paper, we propose a methodology for calculating a leading index of the economic activity based on a modification of Stock and Watson’s (1989, 1991, 1992) approach. We use Kalman filter techniques for estimating the state space representation of th