Borradores de Economia
Número:
705
Publicado:
Clasificación JEL:
C22, C53, C11, E31
Palabras clave:
forecast combination, Shrinkage, Expert forecasts, Rolling window estimation
Lo más reciente
Aarón Levi Garavito-Acosta, Wilmer Martinez-Rivera, Juan J. Ospina-Tejeiro, Edgar Caicedo-García
Leonardo Fabio Morales, Diego Astorga-Rojas, Nicolas Guida-Johnson
Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, Oscar Mauricio Valencia-Arana, Andrés Felipe Prado, Nicolás Aya
Typically, when forecasting inflation rates, there are a variety of individual models and a combination of several of these models. We implement a Bayesian shrinkage combination methodology to include information that is not captured by the individual mod