Borradores de Economia
Número:
705
Publicado:
Clasificación JEL:
C22, C53, C11, E31
Palabras clave:
forecast combination, Shrinkage, Expert forecasts, Rolling window estimation
Lo más reciente
Francisco Javier Lasso-Valderrama, Mario Andrés Ramos-Veloza
Diego Fernando Cuesta-Mora, Gómez-Molina Andrés Camilo
Andrés Nicolás Herrera-Rojas, David Camilo López-Valenzuela, Juan José Ospina-Tejeiro, Jesús Antonio Bejarano-Rojas
Typically, when forecasting inflation rates, there are a variety of individual models and a combination of several of these models. We implement a Bayesian shrinkage combination methodology to include information that is not captured by the individual mod