Borradores de Economia
Número:
705
Publicado:
Clasificación JEL:
C22, C53, C11, E31
Palabras clave:
forecast combination, Shrinkage, Expert forecasts, Rolling window estimation
Lo más reciente
Hans-Erik Edsand, Andrés Aleán-Romero, Jhorland Ayala-García, Tania Jiménez Castilla, Sandra C. Valencia
Diana Ricciulli-Marin, Mateo Uribe-Castro
Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez, Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra, María Teresa Ramírez-Giraldo, Jorge Leonardo Rodríguez Arenas
Typically, when forecasting inflation rates, there are a variety of individual models and a combination of several of these models. We implement a Bayesian shrinkage combination methodology to include information that is not captured by the individual mod