Borradores de Economia
Número:
705
Publicado:
Clasificación JEL:
C22, C53, C11, E31
Palabras clave:
forecast combination, Shrinkage, Expert forecasts, Rolling window estimation
Lo más reciente
José Vicente Romero-Chamorro, Hernando Vargas-Herrera
Juan Camilo Medellín-Martínez, Sergio Restrepo Ángel
Andrea Sofía Otero-Cortés, Karina Acosta, Jhorland Ayala-García, Oriana Álvarez Vos, Sara Rojas
Typically, when forecasting inflation rates, there are a variety of individual models and a combination of several of these models. We implement a Bayesian shrinkage combination methodology to include information that is not captured by the individual mod