Borradores de Economia
Número:
705
Publicado:
Clasificación JEL:
C22, C53, C11, E31
Palabras clave:
forecast combination, Shrinkage, Expert forecasts, Rolling window estimation
Lo más reciente
Aarón Levi Garavito-Acosta, Wilmer Martinez-Rivera, Camilo González-Sabogal, Johanna Barbosa-Buitrago, Nathaly Vergel-Serrano
Zhibiao Zhao, Manuel Darío Hernández-Bejarano
Nicol Valeria Rodríguez-Rodríguez, Sebastián Quintero-Uribe, Johanna Barbosa-Buitrago
Typically, when forecasting inflation rates, there are a variety of individual models and a combination of several of these models. We implement a Bayesian shrinkage combination methodology to include information that is not captured by the individual mod