Borradores de Economia
Número:
825
Publicado:
Clasificación JEL:
C53, C12, C14
Palabras clave:
Forecast Evaluation, Stochastic Order, Multiple Comparison
Lo más reciente
Leonardo Fabio Morales, Leonardo Bonilla-Mejía, Didier Hermida-Giraldo, Francisco Javier Lasso-Valderrama, José Pulido
Leonardo Fabio Morales, Juan Chaparro-Cardona, Eleonora Dávalos, Nataly Corredor-Martinez
Oscar Botero-Ramírez, Andrés Murcia, Hernando Vargas-Herrera
We propose to assess the performance of k forecast procedures by exploring the distributions of forecast errors and error losses. We argue that non systematic forecast errors minimize when their distributions are symmetric and unimodal, and that forecast